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High convictionApr 24, 2026·data note

Steel Markets Diverge as US Stability Contrasts with European CBAM Regulatory Upheaval

Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are showing a marked divergence between the United States and Europe, underscoring the impact of regulatory change on trade flowpremium market data providerricing structures.

The Brief

Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are showing a marked divergence between the United States and Europe, underscoring the impact of regulatory change on trade flowpremium market data providerricing structures.

The Analysis

Steel Markets Diverge as US Stability Contrasts with European Regulatory Upheaval

Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are showing a marked divergence between the United States and Europe, underscoring the impact of regulatory change on trade flowpremium market data providerricing structures.

US Market Holds Steady
In the United States, HRC prices remain firmly anchored. Midwest transactions were reported averaging $1,045 per short ton, with the market assessed at $1,050/st EXW Indiana. Lead times are stable at around 6 weeks, pushing deliveries into late May and June. Market participants describe trading conditions as consistent, with little deviation from the established range — a sign of relative stability in domestic steel demand and supply.

Europe Confronts Carbon Costs
By contrast, European HRC import prices have edged higher, with CIF Antwerp assessments rising to €560.00 per tonne, up 1.82%. The increase reflects not only market sentiment but also structural disruption from the European Commission’s

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